Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 12:57 PM to 1:26 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 12:57 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 13.9529. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:26 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-6.09410.5227.13Sep 9, 12:57 PM ET1:26 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:57 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-6.09410.5227.13Sep 9, 12:57 PM ET1:26 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:57 PM ET13.9529
Projected value at 1:26 PM ET0.415744
Actual value at 1:26 PM ET-8.325
Projected change across the window-13.5372
Actual change across the window-22.2779
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.61×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.61 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 5 (1:01 PM ET), where they sat 0.666161 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:57 PM ET) with a gap of 15.4107. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (1:19 PM ET), a move of -5.84779. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:58 PM27.380414.6015-12.7789
61:03 PM19.914824.2581+4.34326
121:09 PM11.037717.2706+6.23291
181:15 PM6.1959418.5235+12.3276
241:21 PM1.24256-4.44485-5.68742
291:26 PM0.415744-8.325-8.74074

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.