Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 12:52 PM to 1:21 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 12:52 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 22.6051. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:21 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-11.4812.0235.52Sep 9, 12:52 PM ET1:21 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:52 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-11.4812.0235.52Sep 9, 12:52 PM ET1:21 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:52 PM ET22.6051
Projected value at 1:21 PM ET2.42355
Actual value at 1:21 PM ET-14.6309
Projected change across the window-20.1816
Actual change across the window-37.236
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.54×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.54 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (1:09 PM ET), where they sat 0.106004 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (1:21 PM ET) with a gap of 17.0544. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (1:10 PM ET), a move of -5.84779. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:53 PM37.686223.6449-14.0414
612:58 PM31.821819.8801-11.9417
121:04 PM19.27117.5537-1.71732
181:10 PM10.36845.46544-4.90296
241:16 PM4.58207-7.20735-11.7894
291:21 PM2.42355-14.6309-17.0544

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.