Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 12:26 PM to 12:55 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 12:26 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -9.95515. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:55 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-38.73-16.874.99Sep 9, 12:26 PM ET12:55 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:26 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-38.73-16.874.99Sep 9, 12:26 PM ET12:55 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:26 PM ET-9.95515
Projected value at 12:55 PM ET2.0407
Actual value at 12:55 PM ET7.92574
Projected change across the window+11.9959
Actual change across the window+17.8809
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.67×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.67 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (12:53 PM ET), where they sat 0.331429 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (12:36 PM ET) with a gap of 29.9932. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (12:30 PM ET), a move of -5.41397. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:27 PM-22.3066-11.2176+11.0889
612:32 PM-16.8535-35.0441-18.1907
1212:38 PM-7.81526-36.4971-28.6818
1812:44 PM-0.839505-27.0765-26.237
2412:50 PM0.813753-7.74559-8.55934
2912:55 PM2.04077.92574+5.88503

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.