Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 12:24 PM to 12:53 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 12:24 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -14.6309. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:53 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-38.32-13.4311.47Sep 9, 12:24 PM ET12:53 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:24 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-38.32-13.4311.47Sep 9, 12:24 PM ET12:53 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:24 PM ET-14.6309
Projected value at 12:53 PM ET2.04756
Actual value at 12:53 PM ET14.8118
Projected change across the window+16.6784
Actual change across the window+29.4426
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.57×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.57 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (12:26 PM ET), where they sat 0.602998 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (12:31 PM ET) with a gap of 24.5343. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (12:26 PM ET), a move of -5.41397. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:25 PM-27.4217-19.8919+7.52984
612:30 PM-17.6655-40.0956-22.4301
1212:36 PM-10.7665-29.4588-18.6923
1812:42 PM-1.43522-19.6426-18.2074
2412:48 PM1.60659-1.14338-2.74998
2912:53 PM2.0475614.8118+12.7642

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.