Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 12:18 PM to 12:47 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 12:18 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -38.3228. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:47 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-37.93-10.0917.74Sep 9, 12:18 PM ET12:47 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:18 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-37.93-10.0917.74Sep 9, 12:18 PM ET12:47 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:18 PM ET-38.3228
Projected value at 12:47 PM ET-0.326299
Actual value at 12:47 PM ET4.64632
Projected change across the window+37.9965
Actual change across the window+42.9691
Bars moving the same direction25 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.88×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.88 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 86% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (12:32 PM ET), where they sat 0.595158 apart, and furthest at bar 25 (12:43 PM ET) with a gap of 24.2958. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (12:47 PM ET), a move of -7.7625. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:19 PM-30.4852-40.0956-9.6104
612:24 PM-28.2065-32.6544-4.44796
1212:30 PM-18.5266-23.6765-5.14987
1812:36 PM-10.6314-4.95221+5.67922
2412:42 PM-3.6454714.8118+18.4572
2912:47 PM-0.3262994.64632+4.97262

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.