Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 12:17 PM to 12:46 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 12:17 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -40.0956. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:46 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-37.93-10.0917.74Sep 9, 12:17 PM ET12:46 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:17 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-37.93-10.0917.74Sep 9, 12:17 PM ET12:46 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:17 PM ET-40.0956
Projected value at 12:46 PM ET-1.38649
Actual value at 12:46 PM ET-6.0125
Projected change across the window+38.7091
Actual change across the window+34.0831
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.14×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.14 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (12:23 PM ET), where they sat 0.23117 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (12:41 PM ET) with a gap of 25.8488. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (12:46 PM ET), a move of -10.6588. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:18 PM-28.6251-41.6632-13.0381
612:23 PM-29.2277-29.4588-0.23117
1212:29 PM-19.1692-19.6426-0.473464
1812:35 PM-13.0572-1.14338+11.9139
2412:41 PM-4.7825921.0662+25.8488
2912:46 PM-1.38649-6.0125-4.62601

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.