Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 12:12 PM to 12:41 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 12:12 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -32.6544. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:41 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-29.45-5.58718.28Sep 9, 12:12 PM ET12:41 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:12 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-29.45-5.58718.28Sep 9, 12:12 PM ET12:41 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:12 PM ET-32.6544
Projected value at 12:41 PM ET3.02818
Actual value at 12:41 PM ET-12.1949
Projected change across the window+35.6826
Actual change across the window+20.4596
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.74×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.74 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (12:20 PM ET), where they sat 0.547414 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (12:31 PM ET) with a gap of 26.8214. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (12:36 PM ET), a move of -10.6588. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:13 PM-20.7555-29.4588-8.70333
612:18 PM-17.3012-23.6765-6.37525
1212:24 PM-13.9063-4.95221+8.95412
1812:30 PM-7.1155714.8118+21.9273
2412:36 PM-1.37029-6.0125-4.64221
2912:41 PM3.02818-12.1949-15.223

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.