Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 12:11 PM to 12:40 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -28.8993. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:40 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-25.92-3.70918.5Sep 9, 12:11 PM ET12:40 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:11 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-25.92-3.70918.5Sep 9, 12:11 PM ET12:40 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:11 PM ET-28.8993
Projected value at 12:40 PM ET1.77454
Actual value at 12:40 PM ET-10.2162
Projected change across the window+30.6738
Actual change across the window+18.6831
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.64×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.64 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (12:17 PM ET), where they sat 0.733264 apart, and furthest at bar 17 (12:28 PM ET) with a gap of 29.2487. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (12:33 PM ET), a move of -10.6588. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:12 PM-19.7203-28.7684-9.04806
612:17 PM-17.1869-16.4537+0.733264
1212:23 PM-14.58351.10441+15.6879
1812:29 PM-6.6719421.4809+28.1528
2412:35 PM-2.86069-14.85-11.9893
2912:40 PM1.77454-10.2162-11.9907

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.