Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 11:37 AM to 12:06 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 11:37 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -12.0279. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:06 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.9125.84221.6Sep 9, 11:37 AM ET12:06 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:37 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.9125.84221.6Sep 9, 11:37 AM ET12:06 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:37 AM ET-12.0279
Projected value at 12:06 PM ET1.61251
Actual value at 12:06 PM ET1.17868
Projected change across the window+13.6404
Actual change across the window+13.2066
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.03×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.03 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (11:58 AM ET), where they sat 0.205389 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (11:39 AM ET) with a gap of 25.615. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (11:57 AM ET), a move of +6.64191. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:38 AM15.2655-10.3456-25.6111
611:43 AM23.156910.6279-12.5289
1211:49 AM18.48699.15956-9.32736
1811:55 AM17.2482-4.69191-21.9401
2412:01 PM8.6080521.7779+13.1699
2912:06 PM1.612511.17868-0.433829

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.