Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 11:36 AM to 12:05 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 11:36 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -10.3456. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:05 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.4145.9720.35Sep 9, 11:36 AM ET12:05 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:36 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.4145.9720.35Sep 9, 11:36 AM ET12:05 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:36 AM ET-10.3456
Projected value at 12:05 PM ET2.90574
Actual value at 12:05 PM ET-3.08971
Projected change across the window+13.2513
Actual change across the window+7.25588
Bars moving the same direction26 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.83×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.83 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 90% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (11:43 AM ET), where they sat 0.460258 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (11:52 AM ET) with a gap of 20.4033. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (11:55 AM ET), a move of +6.64191. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:37 AM7.97634-7.16397-15.1403
611:42 AM16.906915.0765-1.83046
1211:48 AM13.99453.33235-10.6621
1811:54 AM15.8904-0.483088-16.3735
2412:00 PM7.9966719.3426+11.346
2912:05 PM2.90574-3.08971-5.99544

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.