Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 11:33 AM to 12:02 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 11:33 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -2.35515. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:02 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-24.7-2.68619.33Sep 9, 11:33 AM ET12:02 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:33 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-24.7-2.68619.33Sep 9, 11:33 AM ET12:02 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:33 AM ET-2.35515
Projected value at 12:02 PM ET2.87373
Actual value at 12:02 PM ET-9.45588
Projected change across the window+5.22887
Actual change across the window-7.10074
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.74×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.74 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (11:42 AM ET), where they sat 1.55564 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:33 AM ET) with a gap of 25.3023. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (11:50 AM ET), a move of +6.64191. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:34 AM-17.8582.24559+20.1035
611:39 AM2.1535118.8228+16.6693
1211:45 AM8.34254-5.65735-13.9999
1811:51 AM8.4983912.7051+4.20676
2411:57 AM10.25138.35147-1.89982
2912:02 PM2.87373-9.45588-12.3296

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.