Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 11:11 AM to 11:40 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 11:11 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 14.8809. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:40 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-65.55-27.869.82Sep 9, 11:11 AM ET11:40 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:11 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-65.55-27.869.82Sep 9, 11:11 AM ET11:40 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:11 AM ET14.8809
Projected value at 11:40 AM ET2.18648
Actual value at 11:40 AM ET2.47132
Projected change across the window-12.6944
Actual change across the window-12.4096
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.02×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.02 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (11:31 AM ET), where they sat 0.157149 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (11:13 AM ET) with a gap of 72.3489. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (11:12 AM ET), a move of -6.52941. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:12 AM-61.9088.35147+70.2594
611:17 AM-64.1069-9.45588+54.651
1211:23 AM-45.2363-9.38456+35.8517
1811:29 AM-24.5005-24.0794+0.421124
2411:35 AM-6.2182-15.1426-8.92445
2911:40 AM2.186482.47132+0.284846

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.