Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 10:50 AM to 11:19 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 10:50 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -19.661. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:19 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.161.47920.12Sep 9, 10:50 AM ET11:19 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:50 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.161.47920.12Sep 9, 10:50 AM ET11:19 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:50 AM ET-19.661
Projected value at 11:19 AM ET1.66134
Actual value at 11:19 AM ET7.28456
Projected change across the window+21.3224
Actual change across the window+26.9456
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.79×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.79 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (11:10 AM ET), where they sat 0.300523 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:50 AM ET) with a gap of 41.8697. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (10:59 AM ET), a move of +5.56029. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:51 AM22.3782-18.5118-40.89
610:56 AM20.021-11.2088-31.2298
1211:02 AM11.33512.2868+0.95174
1811:08 AM8.3082110.3963+2.08812
2411:14 AM2.791654.40735+1.61571
2911:19 AM1.661347.28456+5.62322

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.