Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 10:46 AM to 11:15 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 10:46 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -13.7022. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:15 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-19.161.14821.45Sep 9, 10:46 AM ET11:15 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:46 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-19.161.14821.45Sep 9, 10:46 AM ET11:15 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:46 AM ET-13.7022
Projected value at 11:15 AM ET0.701178
Actual value at 11:15 AM ET-21.8853
Projected change across the window+14.4034
Actual change across the window-8.18309
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.76×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.76 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (11:11 AM ET), where they sat 0.309701 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (10:47 AM ET) with a gap of 30.3059. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (11:13 AM ET), a move of -8.19632. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:47 AM19.0971-11.2088-30.3059
610:52 AM22.908410.5059-12.4025
1210:58 AM9.6943910.9213+1.22693
1811:04 AM6.774934.68162-2.09331
2411:10 AM3.98487.28456+3.29976
2911:15 AM0.701178-21.8853-22.5865

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.