Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 10:45 AM to 11:14 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -11.2088. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:14 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-20.660.93322.53Sep 9, 10:45 AM ET11:14 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:45 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-20.660.93322.53Sep 9, 10:45 AM ET11:14 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:45 AM ET-11.2088
Projected value at 11:14 AM ET3.81294
Actual value at 11:14 AM ET-23.5588
Projected change across the window+15.0218
Actual change across the window-12.35
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.22×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.22 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (11:06 AM ET), where they sat 0.320121 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (11:14 AM ET) with a gap of 27.3718. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (11:11 AM ET), a move of -8.19632. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:46 AM17.3713-7.41103-24.7823
610:51 AM24.878412.2868-12.5917
1210:57 AM18.376210.3963-7.97985
1811:03 AM9.979384.40735-5.57203
2411:09 AM8.52742.65074-5.87667
2911:14 AM3.81294-23.5588-27.3718

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.