Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 8:07 AM to 8:36 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 8:07 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 4.40221. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:36 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-29.09-10.687.728Sep 9, 8:07 AM ET8:36 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:07 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-29.09-10.687.728Sep 9, 8:07 AM ET8:36 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:07 AM ET4.40221
Projected value at 8:36 AM ET-1.83381
Actual value at 8:36 AM ET10.2
Projected change across the window-6.23601
Actual change across the window+5.79779
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.08×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.08 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (8:21 AM ET), where they sat 0.210371 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (8:09 AM ET) with a gap of 33.5413. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (8:26 AM ET), a move of +4.58382. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:08 AM-28.62772.04412+30.6718
68:13 AM-29.6511-4.09265+25.5585
128:19 AM-25.3434-17.6588+7.68462
188:25 AM-14.875-9.86985+5.00518
248:31 AM-5.969341.55368+7.52302
298:36 AM-1.8338110.2+12.0338

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.