Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 7:18 AM to 7:47 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 7:18 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -20.6294. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:47 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-19.12-7.8513.414Sep 9, 7:18 AM ET7:47 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:18 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-19.12-7.8513.414Sep 9, 7:18 AM ET7:47 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:18 AM ET-20.6294
Projected value at 7:47 AM ET0.703706
Actual value at 7:47 AM ET-9.95588
Projected change across the window+21.3331
Actual change across the window+10.6735
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual2.00×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 2.00 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (7:30 AM ET), where they sat 1.36026 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:18 AM ET) with a gap of 21.0359. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (7:21 AM ET), a move of +7.47941. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:19 AM-3.28898-18.8794-15.5904
67:24 AM-4.264014.92721+9.19122
127:30 AM-4.78232-3.42206+1.36026
187:36 AM-5.44984-19.5375-14.0877
247:42 AM-3.66318-11.5125-7.84932
297:47 AM0.703706-9.95588-10.6596

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.