Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 5:36 AM to 6:05 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 5:36 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -13.5574. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:05 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-34.78-18.61-2.435Sep 9, 5:36 AM ET6:05 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:36 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-34.78-18.61-2.435Sep 9, 5:36 AM ET6:05 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:36 AM ET-13.5574
Projected value at 6:05 AM ET-0.615353
Actual value at 6:05 AM ET-1.5375
Projected change across the window+12.942
Actual change across the window+12.0199
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.08×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.08 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (6:04 AM ET), where they sat 0.0575647 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (5:40 AM ET) with a gap of 21.1017. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (5:52 AM ET), a move of +4.26618. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:37 AM-34.9037-16.3434+18.5603
65:42 AM-32.5332-13.6353+18.8979
125:48 AM-22.5149-26.3346-3.81963
185:54 AM-12.3808-9.26103+3.11979
246:00 AM-6.18319-0.455147+5.72804
296:05 AM-0.615353-1.5375-0.922147

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.