Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 5:35 AM to 6:04 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 5:35 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -16.3434. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:04 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-28.32-14.99-1.652Sep 9, 5:35 AM ET6:04 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:35 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-28.32-14.99-1.652Sep 9, 5:35 AM ET6:04 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:35 AM ET-16.3434
Projected value at 6:04 AM ET0.139006
Actual value at 6:04 AM ET-1.25221
Projected change across the window+16.4824
Actual change across the window+15.0912
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.09×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.09 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (6:02 AM ET), where they sat 0.0570439 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (5:38 AM ET) with a gap of 14.7402. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (5:50 AM ET), a move of +4.26618. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:36 AM-29.1529-16.7522+12.4007
65:41 AM-25.4756-14.2265+11.2491
125:47 AM-18.5158-25.739-7.22321
185:53 AM-9.90886-5.94926+3.9596
245:59 AM-3.73542-0.263235+3.47218
296:04 AM0.139006-1.25221-1.39121

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.