Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 5:34 AM to 6:03 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 5:34 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -16.3434. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:03 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-26.11-14-1.89Sep 9, 5:34 AM ET6:03 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:34 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-26.11-14-1.89Sep 9, 5:34 AM ET6:03 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:34 AM ET-16.3434
Projected value at 6:03 AM ET-1.21219
Actual value at 6:03 AM ET-1.25221
Projected change across the window+15.1312
Actual change across the window+15.0912
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.00×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.00 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (6:03 AM ET), where they sat 0.040013 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (5:38 AM ET) with a gap of 12.7634. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (5:49 AM ET), a move of +4.26618. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:35 AM-24.6475-16.7522+7.89525
65:40 AM-24.0973-14.2265+9.87088
125:46 AM-18.4305-25.739-7.30842
185:52 AM-9.83386-5.94926+3.88459
245:58 AM-4.06374-0.263235+3.80051
296:03 AM-1.21219-1.25221-0.040013

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.