Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 5:32 AM to 6:01 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 5:32 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -16.8235. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:01 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-24.6-11.711.182Sep 9, 5:32 AM ET6:01 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:32 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-24.6-11.711.182Sep 9, 5:32 AM ET6:01 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:32 AM ET-16.8235
Projected value at 6:01 AM ET-0.138657
Actual value at 6:01 AM ET2.91397
Projected change across the window+16.6849
Actual change across the window+19.7375
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.85×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.85 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (5:57 AM ET), where they sat 0.0387097 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (5:42 AM ET) with a gap of 13.7065. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (5:45 AM ET), a move of +4.26618. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:33 AM-15.9975-15.0934+0.904167
65:38 AM-15.2494-19.2588-4.00944
125:44 AM-11.3171-20.3956-9.07848
185:50 AM-6.22255-2.34926+3.87329
245:56 AM-1.69992-2.27794-0.578019
296:01 AM-0.1386572.91397+3.05263

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.