Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 5:26 AM to 5:55 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 5:26 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -22.8316. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:55 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-23.88-5.63612.61Sep 9, 5:26 AM ET5:55 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:26 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-23.88-5.63612.61Sep 9, 5:26 AM ET5:55 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:26 AM ET-22.8316
Projected value at 5:55 AM ET0.681254
Actual value at 5:55 AM ET14.4059
Projected change across the window+23.5129
Actual change across the window+37.2375
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.63×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.63 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (5:26 AM ET), where they sat 0.00888488 apart, and furthest at bar 27 (5:53 AM ET) with a gap of 15.1386. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (5:32 AM ET), a move of +4.26618. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:27 AM-24.7099-25.261-0.551172
65:32 AM-18.9082-16.1294+2.77878
125:38 AM-11.3827-0.416912+10.9658
185:44 AM-6.9131-1.67868+5.23443
245:50 AM-2.881138.23897+11.1201
295:55 AM0.68125414.4059+13.7246

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.