Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 5:23 AM to 5:52 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 5:23 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -25.739. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:52 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-23.32-5.33812.65Sep 9, 5:23 AM ET5:52 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:23 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-23.32-5.33812.65Sep 9, 5:23 AM ET5:52 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:23 AM ET-25.739
Projected value at 5:52 AM ET0.615429
Actual value at 5:52 AM ET12.5007
Projected change across the window+26.3544
Actual change across the window+38.2397
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.69×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.69 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (5:26 AM ET), where they sat 1.18197 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (5:47 AM ET) with a gap of 16.9011. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (5:26 AM ET), a move of +4.26618. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:24 AM-14.268-23.9978-9.72978
65:29 AM-13.5374-5.94926+7.58815
125:35 AM-7.21815-0.263235+6.95491
185:41 AM-3.38830.359559+3.74786
245:47 AM-2.180514.7206+16.9011
295:52 AM0.61542912.5007+11.8853

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.