Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 4:15 AM to 4:44 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 4:15 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -15.7191. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:44 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.1-8.1541.796Sep 9, 4:15 AM ET4:44 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:15 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.1-8.1541.796Sep 9, 4:15 AM ET4:44 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:15 AM ET-15.7191
Projected value at 4:44 AM ET-1.08701
Actual value at 4:44 AM ET-4.83971
Projected change across the window+14.6321
Actual change across the window+10.8794
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.34×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.34 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (4:23 AM ET), where they sat 0.14392 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:15 AM ET) with a gap of 18.8519. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (4:26 AM ET), a move of -3.89044. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:16 AM1.23975-15.9309-17.1706
64:21 AM-2.66999-1.26103+1.40896
124:27 AM-3.45183-11.9154-8.46361
184:33 AM-3.03377-19.4412-16.4074
244:39 AM-2.22905-11.5912-9.36212
294:44 AM-1.08701-4.83971-3.75269

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.