Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 4:01 AM to 4:30 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 4:01 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -15.9574. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:30 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.18-8.7740.6297Sep 9, 4:01 AM ET4:30 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:01 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.18-8.7740.6297Sep 9, 4:01 AM ET4:30 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:01 AM ET-15.9574
Projected value at 4:30 AM ET0.250418
Actual value at 4:30 AM ET1.89265
Projected change across the window+16.2078
Actual change across the window+17.85
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.91×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.91 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (4:22 AM ET), where they sat 0.069439 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (4:07 AM ET) with a gap of 11.6693. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (4:10 AM ET), a move of +2.39485. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:02 AM-8.79249-17.7993-9.00678
64:07 AM-7.63439-19.3037-11.6693
124:13 AM-3.28655-8.9625-5.67595
184:19 AM0.0165674-1.01618-1.03274
244:25 AM0.550773-0.261029-0.811802
294:30 AM0.2504181.89265+1.64223

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.