Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 3:57 AM to 4:26 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 3:57 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -19.4412. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:26 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.13-8.4061.323Sep 9, 3:57 AM ET4:26 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:57 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.13-8.4061.323Sep 9, 3:57 AM ET4:26 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:57 AM ET-19.4412
Projected value at 4:26 AM ET0.860348
Actual value at 4:26 AM ET-2.95809
Projected change across the window+20.3015
Actual change across the window+16.4831
Bars moving the same direction26 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.23×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.23 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 90% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (4:23 AM ET), where they sat 0.638342 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (4:00 AM ET) with a gap of 14.3507. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (4:02 AM ET), a move of +2.39485. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:58 AM-9.61982-19.3713-9.7515
64:03 AM-1.02239-11.5912-10.5688
124:09 AM1.39383-2.98382-4.37766
184:15 AM2.519660.732353-1.7873
244:21 AM2.456850.813971-1.64288
294:26 AM0.860348-2.95809-3.81844

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.