Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 3:55 AM to 4:24 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 3:55 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -19.3713. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:24 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-19.3-9.370.5592Sep 9, 3:55 AM ET4:24 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:55 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-19.3-9.370.5592Sep 9, 3:55 AM ET4:24 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:55 AM ET-19.3713
Projected value at 4:24 AM ET0.674458
Actual value at 4:24 AM ET-5.01103
Projected change across the window+20.0458
Actual change across the window+14.3603
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.40×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.40 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (4:21 AM ET), where they sat 0.0115552 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (4:10 AM ET) with a gap of 6.45789. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (3:59 AM ET), a move of +2.39485. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:56 AM-18.7711-19.3037-0.532611
64:01 AM-12.4751-10.3706+2.10447
124:07 AM-7.82551-1.67426+6.15125
184:13 AM-3.418320.483088+3.9014
244:19 AM-0.04279381.89265+1.93544
294:24 AM0.674458-5.01103-5.68549

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.