Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 3:08 AM to 3:37 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 3:08 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -17.439. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:37 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.38-0.0474315.28Sep 9, 3:08 AM ET3:37 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:08 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.38-0.0474315.28Sep 9, 3:08 AM ET3:37 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:08 AM ET-17.439
Projected value at 3:37 AM ET0.941293
Actual value at 3:37 AM ET2.43015
Projected change across the window+18.3803
Actual change across the window+19.8691
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.93×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.93 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (3:21 AM ET), where they sat 0.145082 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (3:09 AM ET) with a gap of 18.0363. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (3:12 AM ET), a move of +3.47059. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:09 AM2.72968-15.3066-18.0363
63:14 AM5.59422-1.89412-7.48834
123:20 AM7.638985.49338-2.14559
183:26 AM6.6526615.7846+9.1319
243:32 AM3.7811914.8926+11.1115
293:37 AM0.9412932.43015+1.48885

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.