Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 3:07 AM to 3:36 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 3:07 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -17.439. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:36 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.38-0.0474315.28Sep 9, 3:07 AM ET3:36 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:07 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.38-0.0474315.28Sep 9, 3:07 AM ET3:36 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:07 AM ET-17.439
Projected value at 3:36 AM ET-1.1045
Actual value at 3:36 AM ET2.43015
Projected change across the window+16.3345
Actual change across the window+19.8691
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (3:19 AM ET), where they sat 0.133098 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (3:09 AM ET) with a gap of 15.3763. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (3:11 AM ET), a move of +3.47059. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:08 AM-0.408176-15.3066-14.8984
63:13 AM3.8918-1.89412-5.78592
123:19 AM5.626485.49338-0.133098
183:25 AM5.7103315.7846+10.0742
243:31 AM2.9347514.8926+11.9579
293:36 AM-1.10452.43015+3.53465

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.