Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 3:05 AM to 3:34 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 3:05 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -13.4301. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:34 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-13.41.00715.41Sep 9, 3:05 AM ET3:34 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:05 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-13.41.00715.41Sep 9, 3:05 AM ET3:34 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:05 AM ET-13.4301
Projected value at 3:34 AM ET1.62873
Actual value at 3:34 AM ET2.34926
Projected change across the window+15.0589
Actual change across the window+15.7794
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (3:32 AM ET), where they sat 0.122946 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (3:23 AM ET) with a gap of 16.209. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (3:07 AM ET), a move of +3.47059. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:06 AM-11.0426-10.139+0.903645
63:11 AM-4.00820.0441176+4.05232
123:17 AM-1.264379.72647+10.9908
183:23 AM0.86451517.0735+16.209
243:29 AM2.265038.62353+6.3585
293:34 AM1.628732.34926+0.720536

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.