Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 2:52 AM to 3:21 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 2:52 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 11.8588. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:21 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.4914.14515.78Sep 9, 2:52 AM ET3:21 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:52 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.4914.14515.78Sep 9, 2:52 AM ET3:21 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:52 AM ET11.8588
Projected value at 3:21 AM ET-0.220496
Actual value at 3:21 AM ET-2.34853
Projected change across the window-12.0793
Actual change across the window-14.2074
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.85×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.85 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (3:20 AM ET), where they sat 0.577192 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (2:53 AM ET) with a gap of 21.5642. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (3:03 AM ET), a move of -3.31985. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:53 AM-7.8016913.7625+21.5642
62:58 AM-2.357217.1132+19.4704
123:04 AM-2.123945.89412+8.01806
183:10 AM-2.027572.60809+4.63566
243:16 AM-1.055242.43529+3.49053
293:21 AM-0.220496-2.34853-2.12803

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.