Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 2:21 AM to 2:50 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 9, 2026 at 2:21 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -5.69044. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:50 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.0223.09113.2Sep 9, 2:21 AM ET2:50 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:21 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.0223.09113.2Sep 9, 2:21 AM ET2:50 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:21 AM ET-5.69044
Projected value at 2:50 AM ET-0.385416
Actual value at 2:50 AM ET-0.823529
Projected change across the window+5.30503
Actual change across the window+4.86691
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.09×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.09 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (2:41 AM ET), where they sat 0.119606 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (2:21 AM ET) with a gap of 20.2517. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (2:27 AM ET), a move of +4.25441. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:22 AM11.6103-7.15074-18.761
62:27 AM4.08259-2.37868-6.46126
122:33 AM1.52437.66912+6.14481
182:39 AM1.942937.27206+5.32913
242:45 AM-0.197273-2.91324-2.71596
292:50 AM-0.385416-0.823529-0.438114

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.