Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 11:38 PM to 12:07 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 11:38 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -13.614. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:07 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-13.57-6.1141.344Sep 8, 11:38 PM ET12:07 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:38 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-13.57-6.1141.344Sep 8, 11:38 PM ET12:07 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:38 PM ET-13.614
Projected value at 12:07 AM ET-0.572106
Actual value at 12:07 AM ET1.65074
Projected change across the window+13.0419
Actual change across the window+15.2647
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.85×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.85 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (12:05 AM ET), where they sat 0.314678 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (11:39 PM ET) with a gap of 14.8066. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (12:00 AM ET), a move of +1.86691. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:39 PM1.78826-13.0184-14.8066
611:44 PM0.810254-11.8066-12.6169
1211:50 PM-0.969926-11.9022-10.9323
1811:56 PM-0.827842-9.6375-8.80966
2412:02 AM-0.468764-3.29632-2.82756
2912:07 AM-0.5721061.65074+2.22284

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.