Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 11:20 PM to 11:49 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 11:20 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -8.76765. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:49 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.422.61612.65Sep 8, 11:20 PM ET11:49 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:20 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.422.61612.65Sep 8, 11:20 PM ET11:49 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:20 PM ET-8.76765
Projected value at 11:49 PM ET-0.559422
Actual value at 11:49 PM ET7.59853
Projected change across the window+8.20823
Actual change across the window+16.3662
Bars moving the same direction25 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.50×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.50 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 86% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (11:22 PM ET), where they sat 0.473732 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (11:39 PM ET) with a gap of 12.7982. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (11:37 PM ET), a move of +2.27868. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:21 PM-5.82048-7.74338-1.92291
611:26 PM-4.72079-2.43382+2.28696
1211:32 PM-1.118613.05735+4.17596
1811:38 PM1.0944413.3529+12.2585
2411:44 PM-0.3843758.43015+8.81452
2911:49 PM-0.5594227.59853+8.15795

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.