Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 10:10 PM to 10:39 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 5.90147. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:39 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.4994.1119.721Sep 8, 10:10 PM ET10:39 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:10 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.4994.1119.721Sep 8, 10:10 PM ET10:39 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:10 PM ET5.90147
Projected value at 10:39 PM ET0.0739979
Actual value at 10:39 PM ET-2.25294
Projected change across the window-5.82747
Actual change across the window-8.15441
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.71×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.71 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (10:36 PM ET), where they sat 0.165929 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (10:18 PM ET) with a gap of 4.13367. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (10:15 PM ET), a move of -3.27132. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:11 PM8.305017.79338-0.51163
610:16 PM7.020823.54191-3.47891
1210:22 PM5.444456.37574+0.931285
1810:28 PM2.740994.48015+1.73916
2410:34 PM0.09264262.21912+2.12648
2910:39 PM0.0739979-2.25294-2.32694

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.