Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 10:09 PM to 10:38 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 10:09 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 7.79338. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:38 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-2.3333.6689.668Sep 8, 10:09 PM ET10:38 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:09 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-2.3333.6689.668Sep 8, 10:09 PM ET10:38 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:09 PM ET7.79338
Projected value at 10:38 PM ET-0.637161
Actual value at 10:38 PM ET-3.13897
Projected change across the window-8.43054
Actual change across the window-10.9324
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.77×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.77 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (10:34 PM ET), where they sat 0.283862 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (10:16 PM ET) with a gap of 4.56514. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (10:13 PM ET), a move of -3.27132. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:10 PM7.299579.35735+2.05778
610:15 PM7.01652.63676-4.37974
1210:21 PM5.32556.40294+1.07744
1810:27 PM3.307034.03382+0.726791
2410:33 PM0.4371811.28235+0.845172
2910:38 PM-0.637161-3.13897-2.50181

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.