Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 10:06 PM to 10:35 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 10:06 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 10.4743. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:35 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-4.2592.6449.547Sep 8, 10:06 PM ET10:35 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:06 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-4.2592.6449.547Sep 8, 10:06 PM ET10:35 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:06 PM ET10.4743
Projected value at 10:35 PM ET-0.963958
Actual value at 10:35 PM ET-5.18603
Projected change across the window-11.4382
Actual change across the window-15.6603
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.73×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.73 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (10:29 PM ET), where they sat 0.154915 apart, and furthest at bar 12 (10:18 PM ET) with a gap of 5.39588. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (10:08 PM ET), a move of -3.27132. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:07 PM5.912919.24485+3.33194
610:12 PM1.750312.85882+1.10851
1210:18 PM0.7864726.18235+5.39588
1810:24 PM1.262363.60515+2.34279
2410:30 PM0.0289747-0.883824-0.912798
2910:35 PM-0.963958-5.18603-4.22207

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.