Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 10:05 PM to 10:34 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 10:05 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 5.97353. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:34 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.1470.76888.684Sep 8, 10:05 PM ET10:34 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:05 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.1470.76888.684Sep 8, 10:05 PM ET10:34 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:05 PM ET5.97353
Projected value at 10:34 PM ET-1.23723
Actual value at 10:34 PM ET-8.20956
Projected change across the window-7.21076
Actual change across the window-14.1831
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.51×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.51 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (10:15 PM ET), where they sat 0.418239 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (10:08 PM ET) with a gap of 7.70678. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (10:06 PM ET), a move of -2.43162. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:06 PM9.527693.54191-5.98578
610:11 PM8.585426.13603-2.4494
1210:17 PM6.008495.32647-0.682019
1810:23 PM4.461863.02279-1.43907
2410:29 PM1.47064-2.25294-3.72358
2910:34 PM-1.23723-8.20956-6.97233

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.