Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 9:51 PM to 10:20 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 9:51 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 4.48015. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:20 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-11.21-2.9995.209Sep 8, 9:51 PM ET10:20 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:51 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-11.21-2.9995.209Sep 8, 9:51 PM ET10:20 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:51 PM ET4.48015
Projected value at 10:20 PM ET-1.36082
Actual value at 10:20 PM ET0.740441
Projected change across the window-5.84097
Actual change across the window-3.73971
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.56 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 2 (9:52 PM ET), where they sat 0.149389 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (10:10 PM ET) with a gap of 10.7255. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (10:13 PM ET), a move of +3.22574. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:52 PM4.183214.03382-0.149389
69:57 PM-1.566492.21912+3.78561
1210:03 PM-1.95113-3.13897-1.18784
1810:09 PM-2.08581-11.6353-9.54948
2410:15 PM-1.118960.518382+1.63734
2910:20 PM-1.360820.740441+2.10126

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.