Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 9:49 PM to 10:18 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 9:49 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 3.60515. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:18 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.99-1.178.651Sep 8, 9:49 PM ET10:18 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:49 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.99-1.178.651Sep 8, 9:49 PM ET10:18 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:49 PM ET3.60515
Projected value at 10:18 PM ET-0.266571
Actual value at 10:18 PM ET-0.868382
Projected change across the window-3.87172
Actual change across the window-4.47353
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (10:15 PM ET), where they sat 0.148492 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (10:05 PM ET) with a gap of 11.9753. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (10:08 PM ET), a move of +3.22574. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:50 PM8.71153.25294-5.45856
69:55 PM1.85468-0.883824-2.73851
1210:01 PM0.362835-6.675-7.03784
1810:07 PM-0.728555-7.62132-6.89277
2410:13 PM0.2481721.18162+0.933446
2910:18 PM-0.266571-0.868382-0.601812

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.