Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 9:37 PM to 10:06 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 9:37 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -6.675. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:06 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-14.810.826516.46Sep 8, 9:37 PM ET10:06 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:37 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-14.810.826516.46Sep 8, 9:37 PM ET10:06 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:37 PM ET-6.675
Projected value at 10:06 PM ET-0.661959
Actual value at 10:06 PM ET-16.9088
Projected change across the window+6.01304
Actual change across the window-10.2338
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.59×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.59 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (9:56 PM ET), where they sat 5.26719 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (9:40 PM ET) with a gap of 30.0724. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (10:04 PM ET), a move of -3.25809. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:38 PM17.9464-8.20956-26.156
69:43 PM15.1266-7.62132-22.7479
129:49 PM9.928081.18162-8.74647
189:55 PM5.10644-0.884559-5.991
2410:01 PM1.66989-5.13897-6.80886
2910:06 PM-0.661959-16.9088-16.2469

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.