Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 9:31 PM to 10:00 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 9:31 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -7.62132. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:00 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-16.91-2.39912.11Sep 8, 9:31 PM ET10:00 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:31 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-16.91-2.39912.11Sep 8, 9:31 PM ET10:00 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:31 PM ET-7.62132
Projected value at 10:00 PM ET-1.04689
Actual value at 10:00 PM ET-12.7868
Projected change across the window+6.57443
Actual change across the window-5.16544
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.27×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.27 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (9:43 PM ET), where they sat 2.46844 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:31 PM ET) with a gap of 21.6789. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (9:58 PM ET), a move of +4.70662. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:32 PM11.0347-4.39559-15.4303
69:37 PM5.332861.18162-4.15124
129:43 PM1.58388-0.884559-2.46844
189:49 PM0.505275-5.13897-5.64425
249:55 PM-1.27813-18.5735-17.2954
2910:00 PM-1.04689-12.7868-11.7399

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.