Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 7:49 PM to 8:18 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 7:49 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -12.5235. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:18 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-11.45-3.4214.605Sep 8, 7:49 PM ET8:18 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:49 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-11.45-3.4214.605Sep 8, 7:49 PM ET8:18 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:49 PM ET-12.5235
Projected value at 8:18 PM ET-0.54783
Actual value at 8:18 PM ET5.68235
Projected change across the window+11.9757
Actual change across the window+18.2059
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.66×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.66 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (8:14 PM ET), where they sat 0.322081 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (7:51 PM ET) with a gap of 15.1403. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (7:50 PM ET), a move of +10.614. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:50 PM-10.9583-1.90956+9.04878
67:55 PM-10.1611-10.6287-0.467539
128:01 PM-6.48616-10.4426-3.95649
188:07 PM-3.04219-6.15294-3.11075
248:13 PM-1.71657-5.04779-3.33122
298:18 PM-0.547835.68235+6.23018

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.