Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 6:06 PM to 6:35 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 6:06 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 37.4993. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:35 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-4.55215.1534.85Sep 8, 6:06 PM ET6:35 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:06 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-4.55215.1534.85Sep 8, 6:06 PM ET6:35 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:06 PM ET37.4993
Projected value at 6:35 PM ET0.702551
Actual value at 6:35 PM ET-7.19853
Projected change across the window-36.7967
Actual change across the window-44.6978
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (6:11 PM ET), where they sat 0.329873 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:06 PM ET) with a gap of 27.8336. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (6:10 PM ET), a move of -10.9574. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:07 PM11.046836.5897+25.5429
66:12 PM8.730841.47353-7.25731
126:18 PM5.445514.1654+8.71995
186:24 PM3.545154.19118+0.646025
246:30 PM2.12422-2.77353-4.89775
296:35 PM0.702551-7.19853-7.90108

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.