Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 6:05 PM to 6:34 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 6:05 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 34.0162. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:34 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-6.93812.2531.44Sep 8, 6:05 PM ET6:34 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:05 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-6.93812.2531.44Sep 8, 6:05 PM ET6:34 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:05 PM ET34.0162
Projected value at 6:34 PM ET2.35907
Actual value at 6:34 PM ET-9.51544
Projected change across the window-31.6571
Actual change across the window-43.5316
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.73×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.73 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (6:20 PM ET), where they sat 0.72401 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:05 PM ET) with a gap of 27.589. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (6:07 PM ET), a move of -10.9574. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:06 PM10.717127.5721+16.855
66:11 PM11.5021-2.49338-13.9955
126:17 PM7.9721212.9772+5.00508
186:23 PM5.94741-1.51471-7.46212
246:29 PM3.74482-4.41029-8.15512
296:34 PM2.35907-9.51544-11.8745

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.