Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 1:51 PM to 2:20 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 1:51 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -82.161. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:20 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-105.7-49.037.588Sep 8, 1:51 PM ET2:20 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:51 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-105.7-49.037.588Sep 8, 1:51 PM ET2:20 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:51 PM ET-82.161
Projected value at 2:20 PM ET0.597051
Actual value at 2:20 PM ET15.1926
Projected change across the window+82.7581
Actual change across the window+97.3537
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.85×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.85 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (2:13 PM ET), where they sat 0.209287 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (1:57 PM ET) with a gap of 103.726. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (2:00 PM ET), a move of +15.6993. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:52 PM-10.38-85.311-74.9311
61:57 PM-9.53465-113.26-103.726
122:03 PM-7.25739-59.6346-52.3772
182:09 PM-3.39623-25.2368-21.8405
242:15 PM-0.5375312.03897+2.5765
292:20 PM0.59705115.1926+14.5956

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.