Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 1:50 PM to 2:19 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -87.3941. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:19 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-105.6-48.947.762Sep 8, 1:50 PM ET2:19 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:50 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-105.6-48.947.762Sep 8, 1:50 PM ET2:19 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:50 PM ET-87.3941
Projected value at 2:19 PM ET0.557827
Actual value at 2:19 PM ET15.3772
Projected change across the window+87.9519
Actual change across the window+102.771
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.86×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.86 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (2:10 PM ET), where they sat 0.818561 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (1:54 PM ET) with a gap of 104.546. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (1:57 PM ET), a move of +15.6993. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:51 PM-9.61821-95.3463-85.7281
61:56 PM-7.69653-102.744-95.0476
122:02 PM-5.1299-58.1897-53.0598
182:08 PM-1.44938-7.07426-5.62488
242:14 PM1.309568.95147+7.64191
292:19 PM0.55782715.3772+14.8194

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.