Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 1:49 PM to 2:18 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 1:49 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -95.3463. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:18 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-105.6-48.718.192Sep 8, 1:49 PM ET2:18 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:49 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-105.6-48.718.192Sep 8, 1:49 PM ET2:18 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:49 PM ET-95.3463
Projected value at 2:18 PM ET0.854231
Actual value at 2:18 PM ET15.8346
Projected change across the window+96.2006
Actual change across the window+111.181
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (2:09 PM ET), where they sat 0.0202202 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (1:52 PM ET) with a gap of 105.955. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (1:55 PM ET), a move of +15.6993. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:50 PM-9.79933-105.84-96.0411
61:55 PM-5.93536-87.0449-81.1095
122:01 PM-3.38084-60.2809-56.9
182:07 PM-1.48717-2.04412-0.556946
242:13 PM1.1211210.886+9.76491
292:18 PM0.85423115.8346+14.9803

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.