Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 1:41 PM to 2:10 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 1:41 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -62.986. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:10 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-58.12-21.8614.4Sep 8, 1:41 PM ET2:10 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:41 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-58.12-21.8614.4Sep 8, 1:41 PM ET2:10 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:41 PM ET-62.986
Projected value at 2:10 PM ET-0.463739
Actual value at 2:10 PM ET17.6088
Projected change across the window+62.5223
Actual change across the window+80.5949
Bars moving the same direction25 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.78×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.78 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 86% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (1:50 PM ET), where they sat 0.939936 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:41 PM ET) with a gap of 61.1342. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (1:47 PM ET), a move of +14.2794. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:42 PM-4.80003-59.6346-54.8345
61:47 PM-10.157-38.5434-28.3864
121:53 PM-6.31941-1.14412+5.17529
181:59 PM-4.0046315.1926+19.1973
242:05 PM-2.891716.9993+19.891
292:10 PM-0.46373917.6088+18.0726

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.