Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 1:37 PM to 2:06 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 1:37 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -60.2809. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:06 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-55.53-20.1515.24Sep 8, 1:37 PM ET2:06 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:37 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-55.53-20.1515.24Sep 8, 1:37 PM ET2:06 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:37 PM ET-60.2809
Projected value at 2:06 PM ET0.553419
Actual value at 2:06 PM ET19.9882
Projected change across the window+60.8343
Actual change across the window+80.2691
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.76×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.76 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (1:46 PM ET), where they sat 1.04722 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:37 PM ET) with a gap of 63.3438. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (1:39 PM ET), a move of +14.2794. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:38 PM2.27666-52.8228-55.0995
61:43 PM0.596183-2.04412-2.6403
121:49 PM1.4392310.886+9.44679
181:55 PM2.5106915.8949+13.3842
242:01 PM1.216117.3412+16.1251
292:06 PM0.55341919.9882+19.4348

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.